Tottenham remarkably discover themselves simply 4 factors away from the Premier League relegation zone with 11 video games left to play of this season.
It has been a disastrous marketing campaign for Spurs, who’ve gained simply seven of their 27 league video games and have after deciding to sack Thomas Frank.
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Whereas their state of affairs bares similarities to final season, wherein Spurs completed a dreadful seventeenth, the truth was they had been in little hazard of taking place.
The identical can’t be stated this season, nevertheless, and it’s probably Spurs will want extra factors than those that have managed to remain up in earlier seasons to safe survival.
Tudor’s sixteenth positioned aspect at the moment have 29 factors after 27 video games. Nottingham Forest in seventeenth, in the meantime, are at the moment on 27 whereas West Ham in 18th have 25.
So what complete would possibly they want? We’ve had a take a look at earlier seasons in comparison with this one.
2024/25
Former Spurs boss Ange Postecoglou (Photograph by JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP through Getty Pictures)
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Spurs completed in seventeenth on 38 factors final season. Whereas that could be a fewer complete than a few of those that have been relegated in earlier years, they had been in little hazard of taking place given the hole to these within the backside three.
18th positioned Leicester Metropolis completed on simply 25 factors. That’s the identical complete the present 18th positioned aspect, West Ham, have already recorded with 11 video games nonetheless to go.
At this stage final season, Ipswich and Leicester in 18th and nineteenth had simply 17 factors – eight fewer than West Ham in 18th at the moment have and ten fewer than Forest in seventeenth.
Spurs, at this level final season, in the meantime, had 33 factors, 4 greater than they at the moment do.
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2023/24
The Luton City supporters acknowledge their gamers (Photograph by David Rogers/Getty Pictures)
The season prior noticed the underside three equally battle to make a go of survival. Luton City and Burnley, in 18th and nineteenth respectively, went down with 26 and 24 factors respectively.
Nottingham Forest in seventeenth completed on 32 factors however might have stayed up with loads much less. After 27 video games performed, Forest and Luton had 20 and 21 factors respectively.
2022/23
James Maddison after Leicester’s relegation (Photograph by DARREN STAPLES/AFP through Getty Pictures)
The 2022/23 season, nevertheless, noticed the relegated sides a minimum of make a much bigger problem of staying up.
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Leicester in 18th went down with 34 factors and, like West Ham this season, had 25 factors after 27 video games. The 18th and nineteenth positioned groups at that stage, West Ham and Bournemouth, had 24 factors.
2021/22
18th positioned aspect Burnley had been relegated with 35 factors in 2022, and after 27 video games performed had 21 factors on the board.
What are the very best totals groups have gone down with?
West Ham had been relegated with 42 factors in 2003 (Photograph by Ross Kinnaird/Getty Pictures)
Solely three groups have been relegated with 40 factors or extra in a 20-team Premier League. They’re Sunderland in 1996/97, Bolton in 1997/98 and West Ham 2002/03 – the latter taking place with the very best ever complete for a relegated group with 42 factors.
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No group within the final 9 campaigns have earned 36 factors and been relegated, and the final time 40 factors was wanted to remain up was again within the 2010/11 season. The very best wanted since then was 38 in 2015/16.
What might Spurs want?
Whereas it clearly can’t be stated for positive, what’s already a certainty is that this season won’t be just like the earlier two, the place groups might have survived with out even hitting the 30-point mark.
As an alternative, this shall be extra similar to the 2022/23 and 2021/22 campaigns, the place the mid-30s had been required to outlive.
Nevertheless, it might effectively be that Spurs want to succeed in the upper 30s to ensure survival given the perimeters under them.
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West Ham have been buoyed by their January signings and have seen an enormous upturn in kind, dropping simply one of many final six league video games. Whereas Forest’s kind has been unimpressive, there have been indicators of their Europa League win over Fenerbahce and unfortunate defeat to Liverpool that new boss Vitor Pereira can get the outcomes required.
Three wins from Spurs’ closing 11 video games, which might take them to 38 factors, appears totally possible and would most likely guarantee survival. 38 factors was sufficient to remain up in 24 out of 30 Premier League seasons. That goes as much as 26 seasons for 39 factors and 27 seasons for 40 factors.