Liverpool journey to the Metropolis Floor on Sunday figuring out we want factors within the Champions League chase, and Opta’s newest prediction suggests Arne Slot’s aspect are slight favourites, even when the underlying context makes this really feel something however easy.
, which regarded forward to the weekend’s Premier League fixtures, states that “the chance of Arne Slot’s males profitable on the Metropolis Floor on Sunday [is] 51%” whereas Nottingham Forest have been given “a 25.7% likelihood of victory.”
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That’s the type of quantity that suggests we must be edging this, but it comes with a reminder that our relationship with this floor has not been sort within the league.
Opta additionally be aware that Liverpool have gained simply considered one of our final 15 away league video games in opposition to Forest, with eight attracts and 6 defeats in that run, and that solitary win got here through a late Darwin Nunez header in March 2024.
Opta prediction for Liverpool vs Forest
(Picture by Molly Darlington/Getty Photos)
These odds sit awkwardly alongside what occurred when Forest got here to Anfield earlier this season, when described a defeat that was “embarrassing” in its ease as a Sean Dyche aspect reduce by means of us and gained 3-0.
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That earlier assembly can also be why by Forest’s fixed reset, as a result of Vitor Pereira is already the membership’s fourth supervisor of the marketing campaign.
“Again then, it was Dyche’s third or fourth recreation. That makes it somewhat bit harder. We solely have tonight [Forest’s Europa League match at Fenerbahce] to see if this new supervisor modifications personnel.”
Liverpool’s Forest process feels harder than the numbers recommend
(Picture by Shaun Botterill/Getty Photos)
Forest arrive with perception after an enormous Europa League first-leg win at Fenerbahce, and the sense of a “new supervisor bounce” is at all times an element when the opposition are taking part in with freedom and making an attempt to show some extent within the first league match beneath a recent voice.
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Slot, in the meantime, is juggling choice once more, with the harm image nonetheless shaping our choices.
“Jeremie is not going to be concerned this weekend. We hope he can be concerned subsequent week if issues go as deliberate.
“I feel Joe is able to begin [against Forest]. Sure, he’s.”
So, Opta make us favourites, and we now have lifted spirits after wins over Sunderland and Brighton, however the numbers don’t erase the warning indicators across the Metropolis Floor document, Forest’s current run in opposition to us, and the unpredictability that comes with one more managerial swap.
If we’re going to win this weekend, it most likely seems to be much less like a routine away day and extra like a managed, ruthless efficiency that refuses to let Forest’s momentum grow to be the story once more.
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