This text was translated into English by Synthetic Intelligence.
There are solely two matchdays left till the top of the championship and plenty of verdicts are nonetheless to be issued: Scudetto, 4th place and relegation zone.
Commercial
Let’s have a look at based on Opta what the outcomes of the final two rounds of Serie A will likely be.
Scudetto: Napoli champion by some extent
In accordance with Opta’s algorithm, Napoli has a 77.33% probability of profitable the championship whereas Inter solely has a 26.23% probability. This determine is tremendously decreased by the Nerazzurri’s upcoming conflict towards Lazio, theoretically extra complicated than the matches awaiting Napoli.
Inter is predicted to cease at 81 factors, so Napoli would wish a win and a draw within the final two.
4th place: Juve clearly forward
In accordance with Opta, Juventus has an enormous benefit for the 4th place: a whopping 62.8% probability of qualifying for the following Champions League. On this case too, the Bianconeri’s upcoming opponents matter: Udinese and Venezia.
Commercial
Lazio has a 16.63% probability (because of the conflict with Inter), Roma has a 14.09% probability (the match with Milan has a big effect), Bologna has a 6.16% probability. Very low hopes for Milan and Fiorentina: respectively 0.28% and 0.6%.
Relegation: Lecce most in danger
Within the decrease areas of the desk, the crew most in danger is Lecce: in 77.34% of the simulations it goes all the way down to Serie B, on this case too the final match with Lazio has an impression.
The opposite crew to be relegated based on Opta will likely be Venezia with a 63.49% probability. The final match towards Juventus weighs closely on this calculation.
Empoli additionally dangers rather a lot with a 52.40% probability of relegation regardless of the commitments towards Monza (already relegated) and Verona which might arrive on the final matchday already secure.
Verona maintains a minimal “threat” of 0.62%, whereas Cagliari has a 0.70% probability. Parma is at 9.45%.
📸 Marco Luzzani – 2024 Getty Photos