This text was translated into English by Synthetic Intelligence.
With some Bundesliga strikers, it seems like each shot finds the again of the online. Whether or not it is as a result of immense high quality or an unstoppable wave of success boosting their confidence, they handle to attain from any place. Due to Anticipated Targets (xG), this phenomenon can now be statistically noticed.
The web site ‘whoscored’ has compiled a listing of Bundesliga gamers who exceed their anticipated aim worth essentially the most. This implies they rating considerably extra targets than the standard of their possibilities would counsel. However who’re the ten gamers with the most effective intention within the Bundesliga?
10. Phil Harres (Holstein Kiel): 2.7 xGDiff
As we’ll see later, Holstein Kiel is especially environment friendly. Borussia Dortmund lately skilled this firsthand. In accordance with Anticipated Targets, Harres ought to have solely 4.3 targets this season, however he has scored seven instances.
9. Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg): 2.85 xGDiff
The Wolfsburg striker is barely extra environment friendly, having scored seven instances when he ought to have solely scored 4.15 instances.
8. Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz): 3.13 xGDiff
With 8.87 anticipated targets, Burkardt has scored twelve instances. This raises questions: Is that this a statistical anomaly? Is Burkardt simply notably fortunate proper now? Or is he genuinely that good at ending?
7. Shūto Machino (Holstein Kiel): 3.26 xGDiff
The second Kiel participant. As talked about with Harres, they appear to have discovered a deep effectively of scoring effectivity within the north. Machino ought to have solely 3.75 targets however has additionally scored seven instances, like his teammate.
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6. Benjamin Šeško (Leipzig): 3.32 xGDiff
Eight targets, though solely 4.68 have been anticipated. Šeško retains his composure in entrance of aim. Now he simply must do the identical when his opponent is known as Stiller.
5. Jens Stage (Werder Bremen): 3.46 xGDiff
The Dane has missed a couple of massive possibilities this season. It is all of the extra spectacular that he has scored seven instances with solely 3.54 anticipated targets.
4. Jamie Gittens (Borussia Dortmund): 3.47 xGDiff
Seven targets with 3.53 xG. Does Dortmund have an exceptionally robust winger, or will Gittens’ aim tally drop within the second half? The latter is one thing Nuri Åžahin might actually do with out proper now.
3. Patrick Schick (Leverkusen): 4.12 xGDiff
After his brace towards Dortmund, he missed an enormous likelihood. An exception, as virtually each shot from Schick is at present a aim. The proof: eleven targets with solely 6.88 Anticipated Targets.
2. Alexis Claude-Maurice (Augsburg): 4.39 xGDiff
Maybe essentially the most amusing case on this listing. In accordance with xG, the offensive participant ought to solely have 1.61 targets. He hardly ever will get into harmful positions in entrance of the opponent’s aim. Nonetheless, Claude-Maurice does not care and has scored six instances. Union Berlin was his newest sufferer.
1. Omar Marmoush (Frankfurt): 4.8 xGDiff
From 10.2 xG, Marmoush scored 15 targets, catching the eye of Manchester Metropolis. The query now’s whether or not Marmoush is really that good or simply going by means of a part the place all the pieces works out for him. The Cityzens are betting some huge cash on the primary possibility. Who’re we to disagree?
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