Are Man Metropolis and Liverpool already too far behind? What historical past tells us

Arsenal may not be placing a foot incorrect for the time being, however are Manchester Metropolis and defending Liverpool champions nonetheless within the title race with them?

Whether or not 10 video games remains to be too early to make a good judgment of how a season would possibly pan out, it does present a superb marker for comparability with simply over 1 / 4 of the marketing campaign gone.

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The fewest factors a workforce has had after 10 video games within the Premier League and gone on to win the title is eighteen – one thing achieved by each Manchester golf equipment, with doing so in 1992-93 and 2002-03 and Metropolis in 2020-21.

By each profitable final weekend, Manchester Metropolis and Liverpool have prevented having to make Premier League historical past by profitable the title with fewer than 18 factors after 10 video games.

Nonetheless, probably the most factors a workforce has been behind the leaders after 10 matches and nonetheless gone on to say the trophy is six – one thing once more achieved by each Manchester golf equipment, with United doing so in 2002-03 and Metropolis in 2013-14.

As each the Gunners and Metropolis picked up three factors final weekend, it means they’ve the identical factors as in 2013-14, when Metropolis have been six factors behind then leaders Arsenal and nonetheless received the title (25 v 19).

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However, Liverpool are – based on historical past – successfully out of the title race as they now sit seven factors behind the north London aspect and overcoming that distinction at this stage of the season has by no means been carried out earlier than.

The Gunners’ six-point lead is, actually, the joint-biggest ever after 10 video games of a Premier League marketing campaign and it’s simply the third time within the competitors’s historical past a workforce has had such a giant lead at this stage – with each in 2005-06 and Liverpool in 2019-20 occurring to win the title on these events.

One other constructive signal for Arsenal supporters is that the three factors picked up towards final Saturday has taken them to the common variety of factors at this stage of the marketing campaign for title-winning groups (25 – common is 24.7).

So, whereas a lot of the historic knowledge factors within the course of the Premier League trophy heading to Emirates Stadium on the finish of the season, that is soccer – and information are there to be damaged.

[BBC]

Stats offered by BBC Sport statistician Chris Collinson

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