Six groups nonetheless have a mathematical probability of claiming the ultimate Champions League spot in , however there’s a state of affairs that would result in Juventus securing fourth place within the standings this weekend. Here’s what must occur.
There can be 4 Italian groups competing within the Champions League in 2025-26. Napoli, Inter and Atalanta have already booked their locations. Inter and Napoli will end the season within the high two, and Atalanta are assured to complete in third place no matter outcomes during the last two matches.
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That leaves Juventus (fourth, 64 factors), Lazio (fifth, 64 factors), Roma (fifth, 63 factors), Bologna (sixth, 62 factors), Milan (eighth, 60 factors) and Fiorentina (ninth, 59 factors) all with a mathematical probability of ending within the high 4.
What Juventus want to assert Champions League soccer this weekend
The Champions League trophyEPA-EFE/JEAN-CHRISTOPHE BOTT
Juventus are the one workforce in with a chance of claiming fourth place this weekend, within the penultimate spherical of Serie A fixtures.
To ensure that that to occur, Juventus have to beat Udinese, and for all of Lazio, Roma and Bologna to lose. If any of these three groups draw or win this weekend, the Champions League race will go into the ultimate day of the season.
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On this weekend’s schedule, Juventus will play Udinese, Lazio will play away in opposition to Inter, Roma will host Milan on the Stadio Olimpico and Bologna will play away in opposition to Fiorentina. All of these video games will kick off at 19.45 BST on Sunday.
Why solely Juventus can declare fourth place in Serie A this weekend
TURIN, ITALY – APRIL 27: Randal Kolo Muani of Juventus celebrates scoring his workforce’s second purpose with teammates throughout the Serie A match between Juventus and Monza at Allianz Stadium on April 27, 2025 in Turin, Italy. (Picture by Valerio Pennicino/Getty Photographs)
It’s essential to keep in mind that groups that end the Serie A season stage on factors can be separated by head-to-head as the primary figuring out issue, then purpose distinction in head-to-head matches after which total purpose distinction. (The one exception to this rule is that if the groups in first and second, or the groups in seventeenth and 18th end stage on factors. That may result in a play-off to find out the title or the ultimate relegation spot.)
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If Juventus beat Udinese and Lazio, Roma and Bologna lose, the Bianconeri could have a 4 level benefit over Roma and Bologna with one recreation left to play.
The Bianconeri will solely be three factors away from Lazio on this state of affairs, however Juventus will trump the Biancocelesti on head-to-head after and .
If Lazio or Roma win or draw this weekend, or if Bologna win, there’ll nonetheless be a number of groups inside three factors of fourth place heading into the ultimate weekend, no matter Juventus’s end result in opposition to Udinese.